Thursday Night NBA Targets on DraftKings
Despite all of the 2-0 series starts, I think this year’s NBA playoffs are shaping up to be one of the best in recent history. The first round matchup between the Spurs and Clippers is just not fair, but the second round promises even crazier matchups like Bulls – Cavs, Hawks – Wizards, Warriors – Grizzlies, and Spurs/Clippers – Rockets. As far as DFS goes, it has already produced some of the most entertaining small slate nights of the season, and that continues with tonight’s three game slate on DraftKings.
I have a few lineups that I’m using, but wanted to share my favorite lineup with our readers in today’s article. I’m using these lineups at about a 3-1 ratio of cash games to GPP contests. I think it’s important in these smaller slates to target consistency and play just your best few lineups in mostly cash games. I’m already seeing some owners in the larger DraftKings tournaments with 8-10 entries on a night with only three games… Unless you have the bankroll to do the same, avoid that madness altogether and build up your account by playing safer lineups in single entry cash games like head-to-heads and 50/50’s.
Optimal DraftKings NBA Lineup for Tonight
Kyrie Irving – Irving has been brilliant in the first two games of this series, and really has been for the second half of the season. Thanks in part to the increased minutes that the completely defensively inept Isaiah Thomas has been playing this series, Kyrie has put up back-to-back 40 point games, and I’m looking for a third straight tonight. A basic value analysis of every point guard above $6,000 tonight makes Kyrie an obvious choice tonight.
Evan Turner – You have to love that he’s shooting the ball horrendously, not getting a ton of assists, but has still been right at 5x value. The Cavs have played their best perimeter defense of the season in the first two games of the series, but I think Turner shoots better tonight in Boston.
Anthony Davis – Brow is the only guy I’m paying up for tonight. He’s put up well over 100 points in the first two contests and is a rare $10,000+ player that consistently hits 5x value. The Warriors have managed to play him well with Green defending him and Bogut playing big minutes and providing a double team, but I think the Brow has an absolute monster game tonight.
Mike Dunleavy – Nothing sexy about that pick, but we are avoiding . Averaged over 20 DraftKings PPG against the Bucks in the regular season and 25 over the first two games of the series. Minutes have bumped up slightly in the playoffs, and despite only averaging 10.5 ppg has contributed with 11 rebounds, 7 assists and 7 made threes over the two games. Save bet to hit at least 4x value tonight with a low floor.
Timofey Mozgov – We hit bigs playing Boston hard all season, and I will continue to ride Mozgov in this series. We even have several lineups pairing him and Thompson tonight. You have to love that Tim continues to rack up blocks, got 11 field goal attempts in game two, and despite not rebounding particularly well yet this series has put up 4x+ value in game one and near 7x value in game two.
Taj Gibson – Given the Mirotic injury, he is likely to be heavily owned tonight, but I love pairing the value of Gibson with Noah tonight. Given minutes, Gibson has always been a reliable fantasy contributor. He is active on the boards, blocks a ton of shots, and should be able to put up nearly 1 DraftKings point per minute tonight.
Joakim Noah – Noah has put up back-to-back 5x value performances in the first two games of the series, and with Mirotic out, his usage is likely to take another jump at Milwaukee tonight. Look for a double-double with 5 assists and a few steals and blocks. He’s a must own player tonight.