Our Favorite Dark Horse College Football Bets of 2018

Our Favorite Dark Horse College Football Bets of 2018

Can you believe college football is going to kick off with UCF and UConn in less than 10 days? While the usual names are all over the preseason top 10, this college football season has no shortage of headlines. We have QB controversies in Alabama and Clemson, Michigan finally has a QB, Johnathan Taylor and Bryce Love are going to run for 30,000 yards, and there multiple coaching shakeups in every conference.

While everyone seems to be handing the SEC to Alabama, the ACC to Clemson, and the Big 10 to Ohio State, this article is looking into the top sleepers in every conference, national championship bets that would pay off big, and some Heisman hopefuls with long odds.

Here are our favorite long shot bets, with their current lines on Bovada, for the upcoming college football season.

Brandon Wimbush to Win Heisman at 50/1

I get it, this isn’t the sexiest pick… QB’s that complete less than 50% of their passes and have a 16/6 TD/INT ratio don’t win the Heisman. Let’s keep in mind his ND team was the most improved team in the country last season, and he led them to a double-digit win season while putting up 30 touchdowns. The schedule includes Michigan, Stanford, Florida State, and USC, but only the USC game is on the road and all four are prime time kickoffs meaning Wimbush has the stage four times to impress voters.

Boston College to Win the ACC at 50/1

It’s tough to love anyone in the ACC not named Clemson, Miami, Florida State, or Virginia Tech, but if these teams can beat up on each other throughout the year, BC could sneak into the mix. They are one of the most experienced teams in the country, return a potential all american RB in AJ Dillon and he gets his entire offensive line back. Steve Adazzio had to overcome a lot here this season with injuries absolutely everywhere. He has his full roster back, everyone has experience, and he is still one of the best defensive coaches in the country.

Iowa to Win the Big 10 at 25/1

While the Big 10 is undeniably deeper than the ACC, it still isn’t easy to fall in love with the teams outside of the big 5 this season. Northwestern should be really good, but their schedule is absolutely brutal. It’s too early to like Nebraska, Scott Frost will have them winning soon but the cupboard was just too bare. Iowa doesn’t have the greatest long-shot odds at 25 to 1, but they have a more than legitimate shot to at least make the Big 10 title game. Kirk Ferentz returns 13 starters, but arguably the best offense he’s had in years. Nate Stanley can flat out play, and he gets back his top receivers and both tackles. The schedule sets up extremely favorably with only one real road test coming at Penn State in November.

Texas Tech to Win the Big 12 at 40/1

Are you laughing yet? So we aren’t suggesting you throw down the mortgage on the Red Raiders, but hear me out… The entire defense is back, and this is a defense that was 10 PPG better last season than they were in the previous three. The entire offensive line is also back, and we know that when it comes to position players Kingsbury can plug-and-play like Mike Leach does in Washington State. They get the big two, Texas and Oklahoma at home and if they can manage to outscore one of them there is a shot they pull this thing off.

Utah to Win the Pac 12 at 15/1

IF you are looking for a sleeper in the Pac 12, it had better come from the South. It’s USC, Stanford, and Oregon in the North and the other three schools can just pack it in right now. UCLA’s odds at 25/1 are a joke… that roster was annihilated this offseason and their schedule is ridiculously tough. Utah, on the other hand, has a manageable schedule with cupcake out of conference opponents and their toughest conference games at home. Whittingham returns a roster that will go from the least experienced in the Pac 12 to one of the more experienced teams with 14 returning starters.

Florida to Win the SEC at 18/1

Dan Mullen is one of the better coaches in the SEC and his Miss State teams always overachieved. This Florida roster he inherits is absolutely loaded, returning 19 starters. The Gators were also able to bring in DC Todd Grantham, who should be a head coach at a major power 5 conference by now, and will have the pleasure of coaching a defense that returns playmakers at just about every position. The Gators road SEC games are Tennessee, Miss St, and Vandy, which is about as good as it gets in this conference. Can Mullen do it in year one? At 18 to 1 we are willing to make it interesting.

Texas to Win the National Championship at 45/1

Tom Herman does it in year 2 at Texas. The Longhorns return 14 starters and appear to have addressed the issues that held them back last season. The offensive line is deeper, more experienced, and has an entire offseason with Herman’s system. Keaontay Ingram is a game changing home run hitter at RB, which is exactly what they needed to add in this class. The receiving corps is big and skilled, returning Collin Johnson and Lil’Jordan Humphrey. Perhaps most important, Sam Ehlinger should see a massive increase in productivity in his second year as the Texas QB. The schedule sets up nicely, if they get through Oklahoma in Dallas on October 27th, they will cruise into the Big 12 title game.

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