Game Day Fantasy Notes – Start ’em, Sit ’em For Every Week 2 Game

Game Day Fantasy Notes – Start ’em, Sit ’em For Every Week 2 Game

Carolina at Atlanta

Line: Atlanta (-6) | Total: 44

Start ’em: Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Ian Thomas

Sit ’em: Tevin Coleman

Carolina has all sorts of issues in the secondary, and the Falcons offense (without Freeman) will be hungry to shake off their slow week one start. Ryan always plays well against the Panthers, and is even more reliable at home. This is the week Julio finds the end zone.

The Falcons injuries at safety and linebacker this week opens up opportunities for Ian Thomas and Christian McCaffrey in somewhat favorable matchups. Both guys fill massive roles in this offense that still struggles to find any consistency at receiver.

Indianapolis at Washington

Line: Washington (-6) | Total: 48

Start ’em: Alex Smith, Jordan Reed, Jamison Crowder, Chris Thompson

Sit ’em:Paul Richardson, Josh Doctson, Eric Ebron

Indianapolis is clearly a plus matchup. The big four for Washington should all be solid plays. While Crowder had a slow week one, I still think his skill set is a perfect fit with Alex Smith. Chris Thompson is a matchup nightmare for the Colts, who gave up the 31st highest DVOA to opposing running backs in the passing game.

After watching what the Washington defense did on the road, against a Mike McCoy offense led by a veteran QB and elite RB, this matchup is considerably trickier for the Colts. I don’t trust any of the time shares at RB or TE, but do have some interest in Hilton as the Redskins gave up 35% more production on deep routes than the NFL average.

Houston at Tennessee

Line: Houston (-3.5) | Total: 43

Start ’em: Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith

Sit ’em: Lamar Miller, Derrick Henry, Marcus Mariota

Both passing attacks should have solid games here as each defense is strong against the run, but extremely vulnerable in the secondary. Houston’s secondary has been historically bad over the past 10 games, but the Mariota injury somewhat dampens what should have been huge ceilings for Corey Davis and to a lesser extent Jonnu Smith.

Will Fuller was a monster in games Deshawn Watson started last season. If the Titans shade help over Hopkins it could be a recipe for disaster as Fuller is a tremendous deep route runner with Tyreek Hill like wheels.

Philadephia at Tampa Bay

Line: Philadelphia (-3) | Total: 45

Start ’em: Nick Foles, Nelson Agholor, Corey Clement,

Sit ’em: Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeSean Jackson, Peyton Barber

We are all over a rebound game for the Eagles passing attack here. Foles went into week one after a very limited preseason, and the weather did him no favors. Agholor should have his way with this Tampa Bay secondary that gave up the most passing yards last season, and was dead last in the NFL in sacks.

Core Clement is extremely intriguing, particularly on DraftKings where he is just $3,500. He should claim the majority of Darren Sproles work, and the game flow could favor him even more as the Bucs run D is the strength of the defense.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh

Line: Pittsburgh (-3.5) | Total: 53

Start ’em: Pat Mahomes, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Tyreek Hill, JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Conner

Sit ’em: Kareem Hunt

Clearly this is going to be one of the more popular fantasy games this week. Mahomes and Roethlisberger are going to have big games in a potential shootout. The Chiefs offense looked unstoppable last week, and they will need to be if they want to have any chance of hanging with the Steelers. Kansas City is completely devoid of talent on the defensive side of the ball and have little hope of slowing down AB and JuJu.

Conner remains a strong play as he’s likely to see 30 touches again this week. We are avoiding Kareem Hunt until Reid shows he can call a game that includes his running backs.

Miami at NY Jets

Line: NY Jets (-3) | Total: 43

Start ’em: Neal Sterling

Sit ’em: Everyone else.

Not a lot of upside in this one. We are picking the Dolphins to not only cover, but win in New York. Their win last week was extremely flukey, and the defense will have no chance of getting multiple turnovers from an Adam Gase coached Ryan Tannehill. Primary targets in the passing game are hard to identify on both sides of the ball. Is Stills still the WR1 with Parker back? Will Amendola fill the Landry role? Can Kenyan Drake get more involved in the passing game?

We do still like the upside with Neal Sterling, and the Dolphins were susceptible to opposing TE’s last season.

LA Chargers at Buffalo

Line: LA Chargers (-7.5) | Total: 43

Start ’em: Melvin Gordon, Phillip Rivers, LeSean McCoy

Sit ’em: Kelvin Benjamin, Zay Jones

The storyline here is clear: the Bills are going to hope to lean heavily on Shady to take some pressure off their rookie QB and keep the ultra-talented Chargers offense off the field. When they are on the field, Phillip Rivers, Melvin Gordon, and co will have their way with one of the 2 or 3 worst defenses in the NFL.

Minnesota at Green Bay

Line: Minnesota (-3) | Total: 44.5

Start ’em: Dalvin Cook, Randall Cobb, Stefon Diggs

Sit ’em: Adam Thielen, Jamaal Williams

We are predicting bounce back games for Diggs and Cook, and another big game from Randall Cobb. The Vikings secondary is almost unbeatable up the middle and on the outsides. If you can move the ball with a slot receiver or tight end you have a chance. Obviously Kittle had a big game against them, but a lot of Pettis’s production came out of the slot as well. Rodgers will need to get rid of the ball quickly to avoid having to move too much or take too many hits here.

Cleveland at New Orleans

Line: New Orleans (-9) | Total: 49

Start ’em: Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas, Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, David Njoku

Sit ’em: Carlos Hyde

It’s the New Orleans of old… start everyone. While we aren’t going that far, we do think Brees puts up a ton of points again this week. As a result, Tyrod will be asked to throw it a bunch and should find success against a Saints defense that was torched by Fitzmagic in week one. We are getting the feeling that with Gordon gone, this could be the breakout week for David Njoku.

Detroit at San Francisco

Line: San Francisco (-6) | Total: 48.5

Start ’em: Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford, George Kittle, Golden Tate, Kenny Golladay, Dante Pettis

Sit ’em: Alfred Morris, LeGarrette Blount

Another game that should provide loads of fantasy value. The Lions defense has looked terrible through the preseason and week one. Meanwhile, it’s never a good idea to bet against Matthew Stafford, particularly with the arsenal of weapons around him and the quality of this matchup.

Jimmy G and George Kittle may end up being one of the most popular DFS stacks this week, but don’t sell this Lions offense short after what was an extremely fluky start to the season. We wrote this a bunch last season, but I’m not sure anyone can cover Kenny Golladay… it’s all mental with him, once he gets it he could be the nightmare he was at Northern Illinois. The power backs won’t be needed for this one, bench Blount and Morris.

Arizona at LA Rams

Line: LA Rams (-13) | Total: 45

Start ’em: Todd Gurley, David Johnson, Ricky Seals-Jones

Sit ’em: Rams Passing Attack

David Johnson vs Todd Gurley… We expect both backs to be considerably better than they were in week one. Johnson really only got a half of work, thanks to 13 total yards and no TOP in the first half. The Rams defense is not great against the run, and their linebackers are arguably the weakness of the defense so he should have a big game as a pass catcher.

Todd Gurley is the best fantasy play on the board this week. As ridiculous as the near 100 yard game they gave up to Adrian Peterson running behind a bad run blocking offensive line is, the Cardinals were arguably worse against Chris Thompson in the passing game. Gurley will lead the Rams in rushing and receiving and score twice here. RSJ should be in play after the massive game Jared Cook had against the Rams.

New England at Jacksonville

Line: New England (-2) | Total: 44

Start ’em: TJ Yeldon, Rob Gronkowski, James White

Sit ’em:Chris Hogan, Phillip Dorsett

I’m not betting against the Patriots… or against the Jacksonville secondary… or the Jags run game. We are all in on the Jags improved offensive line and run-first mentality. TJ Yeldon is going to have a big game.

Hogan and Dorsett, however, will not. The Jags outside corners are easily the best in the NFL. Typically we see the Patriots counter a matchup like this by running the ball, while still playing fast, and leaning on Gronk, Edelman, and James White. The run game is a massive question mark as we don’t know if Michel or Burkhead will play. If one or both guys are out it could be a busy day for James White.

Oakland at Denver

Line: Denver (-6.5) | Total: 45.5

Start ’em: Case Keenum, Emmanuel Sanders, Jared Cook

Sit ’em: Marshawn Lynch, Phillip Lindsay

The Denver passing attack is humming, and Emmanuel Sanders is a nightmare in the slot. He’s a great route runner, has sure hands, can beat the defense deep, but most importantly has Thomas and Sutton on the outside to keep the safeties honest. Combine that with a much improved run game, and he is going to be a solid play most weeks. The Raiders were 29th in DVOA vs slot receivers last season.

While Lindsay was impressive in week one, we aren’t all in on him just yet. Freeman is a much more complete runner, should get the goal line work, and can also catch the ball. Both guys have to be avoided if the team continues to waste 1/3 of the snaps on Booker like they did in week one.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *