FanDuel NBA Picks for Wednesday 10/28
With the small night one slate under our belt, it’s time to get serious about our FanDuel NBA lineups for this loaded Wednesday slate. There are several factors to consider when analyzing players and matchups. To name just a few at the top of the list: minutes, role and usage, game pace and Vegas total, player scoring trends, player history vs opponent, opponent defense vs position, injuries (injuries create opportunity for value), and the depth of the position for that night.
Let’s start with a peak at the teams with the highest totals for tonight’s contests:
|Oklahoma City||San Antonio||106|
Top Picks for Wednesday Night NBA Contests
FanDuel Salary – $10,800
Thanks to his usage and ability to contribute in every statistical category, Hardenis all but a lock to hit 50 points in matchups with teams like Denver. He is easily the top play on the board facing a team that gave up the second most points to SG’s last season, and a team that he averaged 36, 7, 8, 1.5, .5 (58 fantasy points) against in four games last year (splits below).
FanDuel Salary – $8,000
The Bucks are going to be legit contenders in the East this season, and it all starts with the Monroe acquisition. Monroe fits in perfectly on a team that doesn’t have a guard with high usage numbers. The offense will flow through him and he’s particularly attractive on a night where the Bucks will be without Giannis and Mayo and are facing a Knicks team that was shredded by opposing bigs last season.
FanDuel Salary – $7,500
It’s always tricky picking a player with virtually no usage, but you love Noel because of his defensive numbers. Over his last two preseason games, he averaged 7.5 steals + blocks in 34 minutes. He’s also been good for 2-3 assists per night, so you are getting to 20 points before he even scores a bucket or grabs a rebound. The Celtics gave up 47 points to opposing centers and 43 to opposing PF’s last season, both ranking in the bottom 10 in the NBA.
FanDuel Salary – $9,000
Damian Lillard had a usage rate of 26.3 last season with teammate LaMarcus Aldridge having a usage rate of 27.6. With LA gone, I expect Lillard to have a huge season, and to see his usage jump up into the 30+ range where Westbrook, Kobe, Lebron, and Harden hang out. Portland’s team total is 105, but I think they go even higher, with Lillard going off on the horrendous point guard combination of Ish Smith and Nate Robinson.
FanDuel Salary – $7,600
I jumped on the Wiggins bandwagon at the midway point of last season, and haven’t looked backed since. I think he’s a legit MVP candidate that should see a massive bump in usage in year two. In his last two games against the Lakers, Wiggins averaged 52 FanDuel points: 28 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, and a block.
Top Values for Wednesday Night NBA Contests
FanDuel Salary – $5,500
I thought Mudiay should have been the Lakers’ draft selection and still think he will end up being the Rookie of the Year. He doesn’t have real competition in the Denver backcourt, and will play some 2 when Jameer Nelson is on the floor. He’s cut from the mold of Russell Westbrook in that he’s going to be a triple-double threat every night thanks to his activity and athleticism. He’s currently priced way to cheap on FanDuel as I think he’s a 32 fantasy point per night type of player, and this is going to be a high scoring game where he’s likely to see more Ty Lawson than Patrick Beverley.
FanDuel Salary – $5,500
Any time C.J. McCollum has been given the opportunity to play, he’s produced with huge numbers. Last April he saw his minutes jump to 30 per game and averaged 16, 4, 2, 1 for around 26 FanDuel PPG. Given the opportunity for playing time and shots that has opened up in Portland, I think he’s going to average 30 minutes per game and 30 FanDuel PPG this season. He’s another steal at $5,500 tonight.
FanDuel Salary – $4,400
Capela will get the start tonight in Houston, and if you haven’t had the chance to watch him play you will be quite surprised with just how talented he is. McHale seems to work magic with his bigs and with Josh Smith gone, DOM injured, and Dwight Howard suspended, Capela and Terrence Jones should have huge nights in a great matchup.
FanDuel Salary – $4,000
We generally chase minutes, so T.J. Warren and his 25 minutes is a scary play, however, he’s a stat stuffing monster. He has put up 8-10x value for his $4,000 salary in under 31 minutes in 3 of his last 4 games.
Other names to consider tonight: Will Barton, Al-Farouq Aminu, Terrence Jones, Reggie Jackson, Isaiah Canaan, Tobias Harris, Langston Galloway