FanDuel and DraftKings Thanksgiving Day Picks
NFL Week 12 kicks off early with a three game slate that kicks off just after noon on Thanksgiving day. Here are the current projected team totals from Vegas for the six teams active on Thursday:
If we were betting on these lines, I would take the over on Dallas, Detroit, and Los Angeles, the unders on Minnesota and Washington, and wouldn’t touch the Giants.
Our projected highest owned players in this small slate: Cousins, Murray, Thielen, and Davis… buyer beware. Our favorite locks for the slate: Prescott, Morris, Crowder, and Engram.
QB Cash Game Play
FanDuel Price – $8,800 | DraftKings Price – $7,100
Having hit 300 yards in 4 of his last 6, facing a reeling defense at home, without his top two running backs, Cousins will likely be the safest QB play on Thanksgiving day. The Giants are allowing the third most fantasy PPG to opposing quarterbacks on the season, and the weather looks solid for a late November game in Washington.
QB GPP Play
FanDuel Price – $7,700 | DraftKings Price – $6,000
We were torn here between two QB’s not getting much love in this slate, both at home, both finally with their complete offensive line. Stafford gets LT Decker and RG Lang back for the second straight week, making the already red hot QB even that more attractive. Stafford is so good at home, even without good offensive line play, and was already able to steal a win in Minnesota earlier this season.
Also worth a look: Dak Prescott
RB Cash Game Play
FanDuel Price – $7,600 | DraftKings Price – $5,000
You could argue he’s slightly overpriced on FanDuel this week, but he’s essentially the only (somewhat) healthy RB left on the roster. They have Byron Marshall, but he was a practice squad player for the Eagles just a few weeks ago. Perine has to see 20+ touches against a Giants defense that is bottom 10 in fantasy RB points allowed.
RB GPP Play
FanDuel Price – $6,100 | DraftKings Price – $4,800
I’m certainly not all in on Alfred Morris, but this is clearly the week to target him. His strengths match up perfectly with the Chargers weaknesses. LA is giving up the most rushing yards and YPC in the NFL, and the third most fantasy points to opposing RB’s. Morris will also benefit from getting Tyron Smith back this week.
Also worth a look:
WR Cash Game Play
FanDuel Price – $6,300 | DraftKings Price – $5,400
With 32 targets in the last three games, this is the Jamison Crowder we expected to see all season. He will be matched up with NY corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie who is giving up an insane 79%+ completion percentage this season. Given the Giants struggles with opposing tight ends, I think Davis will be way overowned this week and it’s Crowder that will likely find the most success in the Redskins passing game.
WR GPP Play
FanDuel Price – $7,400 | DraftKings Price – $6,400
We hinted at why we are bullish on Dak and Dez earlier, but it has a lot to do with LT Tyron Smith. A lack of depth at tackle forced the offense to completely change the way they play when he went out. With him back, Linehan will be able to open up the playbook and get Dez rolling again. Despite the slow start, no receiver in this slate has a higher ceiling, and I don’t think that’s debatable.
Also worth a look: Adam Thielen, Golden Tate, Travis Benjamin
TE Cash Game Play
FanDuel Price – $7,600 | DraftKings Price – $6,100
With Shepard out again, this is a no-brainer pick. The Redskins allow the fourth most PPG to opposing tight ends, which is right on par with their current DVOA which has them as them as the 26th ranked defense vs the position.
TE GPP Play
FanDuel Price – $5,700 | DraftKings Price – $3,100
This is one of those blind faith picks it takes to win a small slate GPP. The matchup looks ugly, but some of Ebron’s best games have come against the Vikings. They have the corners to take away Tate and Jones, and Detroit tends to just go away from Xavier Rhodes altogether (Jones saw 1 target in a game agains Minnesota last season). Ebron is coming on of late, and had 7/92 in a game against Minnesota last season and 10/132/2 in two matchups the year before.
Also worth a look: Hunter Henry