It’s hard to believe that week three is already here, but it is and we are officially getting into the meat of the fantasy football season. We now have two games worth of film and data to break down on 30 of the 32 teams, and should be able to produce more accurate projections to lock in on value moving forward.
As always, let’s start this week three preview with a peak at some of the Vegas odds for this slate:
Week 3 Team Totals
|Kansas City||LA Chargers||24.25|
Top Week 3 Matchups
The Saints are allowing nearly 400 passing YPG through two weeks, and travel to Carolina to face an undefeated Panthers team that is yet to hit their stride offensively. Look for Cam Newton to have his best game of this young season.
Jay Ajayi was impressive and ran hard in a really tough week 2 matchup in Los Angeles. He should get on track in a big way in a week 3 matchup with the Jets who are allowing 33 PPG to opposing RBs through the first two weeks.
Once again, the Atlanta Falcons are struggling to defend opposing running backs. Through two weeks they have allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing backs, and have been extremely inefficient giving up 33 PPG on just 25 touches per game. Look for Ameer Abudllah, who certainly flashed Monday night against a tough Giants run defense, to have a productive day as a runner and pass catcher on Sunday.
Another Dolphins player that we have had to wait two weeks to see break out thanks to Irma and a tough week two matchup is Devante Parker. The Jets have all kinds of secondary issues, and we know the Dolphins want to get their young star receiver rolling.
The Chargers are allowing 90% completion percentage on passes to opposing tight ends, and have given up 8/124 despite playing the Dolphins and Broncos. Neither team really features the tight end. The Chiefs do, and Travis Kelce is coming in hot.
Sleeper Week 3 Matchups
If you are looking for a passing attack in a sleeper matchup, take a look at Deshaun Watson and the Texans on the road in New England. It has been about as bad of a start as you can imagine for the Pats secondary, having allowed 31 PPG, 350 passing YPG, and a 6/0 TD/INT ratio through two weeks.
The key to beating the Jags is clearly avoiding that ultra talented secondary and running the ball. Through two weeks, Jacksonville is giving up 4.6 YPC, 136 YPG, and 1.5 rushing touchdowns per game. Given that Terrance West is already beat up, and Buck Allen has steadily outproduced him, we expect Allen to be a solid play at RB in week 3.
We already touched on the fact that you have to target Cam Newton against a Saints defense that has been shredded early on this season, but the best sleeper play here is undoubtedly Devin Funchess. We would be shocked if Funchess does not absorb the majority of Greg Olsen’s targets. The Panthers have wanted to get Funchess more and more involved, no better time than against the Saints with Olsen out.
The Browns have allowed opposing teams to complete 19 of 22 pass attempts to tight ends this season. The one connection Brissett seemed to have last week was with Jack Doyle (8/79), look for this to be a busy day for Doyle.
Targets Leaders Through Two Weeks
Below is a peak at the targets leaders through the first two weeks, and their red zone targets.