DraftKings Valspar Championship Picks
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Speaking of DraftKings, the PGA action is certainly heating up at the DFS leader, with a Millionaire Maker scheduled for the April 7 Masters. You can win one, or multiple tickets to that Millionaire Maker by entering a $3 satellite this week.
Looking at the odds for the 2016 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook, we see a group of the usual suspects toward the top of the list. It’s no surprise to see Jordan Spieth on the top line, he’s the clear favorite to repeat and pick up his first win since early January. I was a little surprised to see Henrik Stenson (+1400) closer to Danny Willett (+2000) than Spieth.
Looking over the odds, there is value in the +4000 to +4500 range with guys like McDowell, Na, Moore, and Simpson. I expected to see Moore up in the top group possibly even ahead of Schwartzel, Willett, Thomas, and Grace. Moore led here through three rounds last year, has finished in the top 11 in 3 of his last 4 starts and 4 of his last 6 this season.
Our DraftKings Picks for the Valspar Championship
We are sticking to the script here as far as lineup construction is concerned. One favorite, 3 others that have a solid chance to finish top 10, and two punts that should make the cut. So we generally feature one golfer over $10,000, a golfer in the low $9,000 range, two golfers around $8,000, and two sleepers around or under $7,000 that are likely to make the cut.
DraftKings Salary – $11,500
If you were asking me for top-10 locks this week, I think there are two: Spieth and Stenson. I would list the two as 1A and 1B, it just so happens that 1B is $1,300 cheaper and will likely have an ownership % that will be half Spieth’s. In his only start at Innisbrook, Stenson finished with a solo fourth, and like Spieth, has to view this as a great opportunity to pick up his first big win of the 2016 season.
DraftKings Salary – $9,300
In the low $9,000’s there are three golfers that I really, really like this week: Ryan Moore, Graeme McDowell, and Kevin Na. I expect around 20% ownership for each guy, and likely a similar number for Webb Simpson. While Simpson has been the most consistent in this tournament, and McDowell’s game may fit this course better than anyone, it really came down to Kevin Na and Ryan Moore. Both golfer’s have been consistent this season, and great on this course. I’m chasing how brilliant Moore was through 54 holes here last season, but will own both guys.
DraftKings Salary – $7,800
Any other week of the season, he likely isn’t on our radar, but this is O’Hair’s tournament… He won at Innisbrook back in 2008, finished second here last season, and is coming off his best finish of the season with a T14 at the PGA National two weeks ago. He’s one of the top putters on tour, and the moderate length here could once again play into his hands and let him lean on that putter and finish in the top 10 once again.
DraftKings Salary – $7,900
It’s hard to imagine a safer play… Howell is a mainstay on the leaderboard at Innisbrook. He’s finished in the top 15 in back-to-back years, was the runner up in 2009, and has been playing well this season with 7 top-20 finishes already. He’s going to make the cut, likely not contend for the win, but will finish in the top 20 and give you four days of solid scoring.
DraftKings Salary – $6,900
Loupe has big-time fantasy upside, and will be one of our favorite sleeper picks this season. He ranks 16th on the tour in birdie average and flashed his scoring ability when he T3 at the Career Builder. He’s made 5 straight cuts, finished top 15 at the Honda two weeks ago, and has been in Palm Harbor for over a week preparing now.