Our DraftKings NFL Week One Team Pick’em Picks
We are extremely excited about the new DraftKings Team Pick’em format, and what isn’t to love about a free fantasy contest? No initial deposit or promo code needed. If you have a DraftKings account then you are eligible for this free contest that will pay out $1 million over the course of this NFL season.
Just one general tip when it comes to this Team Pick’em format: this contest is a marathon not a race, so don’t take too many risks early, but you also don’t want to just roll with Vegas’ picks all season. Here is who we really like for the opening week’s slate:
The fact that Josh Allen has looked like the best QB on the roster for stretches here is worrisome for this offense. With the highest upside of any of the QB’s in this great class, the goal should be a complete redshirt developmental year for Allen who is coming from tiny Wyoming where he ran a very non-pro style offense. The o line lost pieces and has issues, Shady is a question mark, and they travel to face a Ravens team that has very few question marks. This was one of the easier picks in the slate.
The Jags are going to be hungry to win one for the skipper in New York, and this is a case where the Jags should be able to keep Eli and co on the sidelines for the majority of the game. The Giants weren’t great against the run last season, and the Jags will feed a completely healthy Fournette running behind an improved offensive line.
We will throw in some sleeper picks at some point, but this isn’t the spot to fade the chalk. The Saints are heavily favored for a reason. They are home, are the far and away better team, and will be facing Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Another chalk pick, but I don’t think the % is nearly as high here given what Watson did to the Pats last season. Keep in mind when making this pick that we are playing with a bunch of Watson fanboy DFS guys on DraftKings. The Texans will be improved again this season, but the Pats will roll in their home opener.
This is another chalk pick that I think the hype train will temper just how lopsided the ownership % is. Jimmy G and Kyle Shanahan are going to do big things this season, but I think they lose by double digits in this road opener. The Vikings were one of the four or five best teams in the league last season and they improved dramatically again this offseason.
Here is your first non-chalk pick of this set. I think everyone is going to be onboard the new look Titans hype train heading into week one, making them a clear road-favorite. Just like in Vegas, we are fading road favorites. What the Dolphins have that the week one Titans don’t is familiarity in their system. This is year three with Gase, and I think the Dolphins are one of the more underrated teams in football. Gase will have Tannehill and co ready for a winnable home opener.
The Bengals may be on the road against Andrew Luck, but they are far better on defense and will be improved on offense with a healthy set of weapons and a drastically better offensive system. Unfortunately the Colts didn’t do enough defensively to help what should be a rusty Andrew Luck out in this home opener.
You have to love what the Browns organization has done over the past two offseasons, and I think it will undoubtedly pay dividends at some point this year, just not against the Steelers. The Steelers beat the then Kizer-led Browns by a combined 7 points in their two meetings last season, and one would think they Browns were the more improved team this offseason. We may only be one week into the preseason, but Baker sure looks like the truth and the Browns will likely add Dez Bryant this week. All that being said, I have to see it to believe it and Tomlin and the Steelers find a way to start 1-0 at home.
San Diego is our sleeper team this season… Phillip Rivers played some of the best football of his career last season, and reports out of camp are that he has been lights out again this preseason. This team has a veteran-led, deep offensive line, and is entering year two with Lynn and Whisenhunt. Patrick Mahomes is going to be great this season, but I don’t think he’s ready to win a road in division opener quite yet.
Seattle has all sorts of issues and Denver may have fixed there issues with the marriage of Bill Musgrave and Case Keenum. Look out for the young receivers in Denver, I think there is a chance you could see less and less of the big two here and it could really become a balanced high powered passing attack.
The Cowboys may have gone from a team that won 22 games in Precott’s first two seasons to one of the worst teams in the NFC. They have no weapons outside of Elliott, and a defense that lacks talent and relies too heavily on time of possession to slow down opposing offenses. I don’t think the Panthers are a playoff team this season either, but they are at home and clearly have the better defense. Playing in an extremely tough division and conference, this could be a long year for Cowboys nation.
This is another game that we think the road team will be more owned in, but we aren’t quite drinking the kool-aid. Sure Alex Smith wins everywhere, but Sam Bradford is one of the more efficient QB’s in the league when he’s healthy and David Johnson will be the best player on the field. Look for DJ to shred a Washington defense that gave up NFL highs in YPC and YPG, and did very little to improve this offseason.
This is nowhere near as big of a mismatch as most people will think. Sure the Packers are at home and still have Rodgers, but they moved backwards just about everywhere else this offseason. Meanwhile, the Bears made several positive moves including a massive upgrade at HC and improved weapons that fit perfectly into Nagy’s system. Still, give me Rodgers in a divisional home opener… he will find a way.
Speaking of teams that improved over the offseason, outside of the their pass rush, the Lions answered every question on their roster. They improve the HC ridding themselves of Caldwell and bringing in Patricia, added power running backs, brought back their loaded secondary, and got healthy in the defensive front seven. The Jets have more questions than answers on both sides of the ball, and there is no way they can keep pace with the Lions offense at home.
This is going to be another chalk road team, but we can’t get behind Gruden’s home opener. We love the roster they have here in Oakland, the receivers Carr have around him are insane, and beast mode has looked rejuvinated this preseason. That being said, the Rams are the best team in football and are going to light up the Raiders secondary in this primetime matchup.