With roughly one month to go in the college football regular season, these are the slates that will shape the college football playoffs and bowl season. This is actually one of the first slates this CFB season that doesn’t have a handful of games between favorites for the 2018 championship as 25+ point favorites.
Here is a look at the highest team totals for this slate, this is actually the lowest scoring slate of the season according to Vegas. We generally see between 6-10 teams over 35 points in most slates, this one has two. That being said, there are plenty of fantasy friendly matchups to target this week.
College Football QB Picks for Week 9
DraftKings Price – $10,200
King has one of the better matchups in this slate facing a South Florida defense that has benefited from a cake walk schedule. The Bulls haven’t faced a decent quarterback or offense this season. King will hit 4x value in this matchup and the Cougars are going to move the ball all over the Bulls on Saturday.
DraftKings Price – $7,000
Purdy has been a revelation for the Cyclones over the past two weeks. This offense has been so reliant on Montgomery over the past two seasons that getting the play they have out of Purdy has turned them into one of the scariest matches in the Big 12. They nearly pulled off the upset at TCU, and beat West Virginia at home last week. Purdy was responsible for 700 yards in those two weeks, and this game with Texas Tech is by far the most favorable matchup he has seen to date.
College Football RB Picks for Week 9
DraftKings Price – $6,800
While a ASU-USC matchup may not look great at first glance, this USC run defense is more than suspect. They have allowed several 100 yard rushers this season, and are currently outside of the top 60 in rushing yards per game and yards per carry. You can bank on this being a high volume matchup for Benjamin who had 84 carries in the three weeks leading into the Stanford game. USC can’t score well enough to run away from the Sun Devils, so the game flow should favor the ASU running game here.
DraftKings Price – $5,500
Swift has hit at least 2x in 5 of 7 games this season, so his floor is certainly higher than most of the guys priced over $6,500. We don’t expect Georgia to be able to throw on this Florida defense, which is a top 20 defense nationally against the pass. If they do throw we have seen Swift’s role in the passing game grow over the past month. This is a matchup that Georgia put up 292 yards and 4 touchdowns on 35 carries in 2017.
DraftKings Price – $5,000
We are starting Sermon or Brooks in week 9… Many seem to believe that Sermon is going to be ready this week, but we are yet to get a report of anyone from Oklahoma saying he was fine or has even practiced. Kansas State’s run defense has been terrible this season, giving up 190 yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry. The pass defense has been improved, but Riley and Murray will do what they want. We just don’t see this KSU offense moving the ball here, so you can expect volume for the Oklahoma running backs as they run out the clock.
College Football WR Picks for Week 9
DraftKings Price – $7,600
Stevenson and Corbin are going to shred Charlie Strong’s defense this week. If you haven’t had a chance to look over the Bulls schedule and what offenses they have faced, do it. They haven’t faced a decent passing attack yet this season, and are going to be shell shocked by the Cougars here. Stevenson has the volume to warrant being priced ahead of Corbin, but both players have high ceilings and we wouldn’t hesitate to stack both with King.
DraftKings Price – $7,100
Wesley went right back to work in Bowman’s first game back from injury, and will keep it rolling against Iowa State this week. While the 3-3-5 Cyclones defense isn’t ideal for Wesley and his typical targets, adding Purdy to this game makes it much more likely that the Red Raiders will have more possession than a typical game with Iowa State that features a Cyclones team that is just trying to run the clock out with Montgomery. Bowman and co. are going to have to throw it a bunch this week, which bodes well for Wesley and his 25% target share.
Randall St. Felix
DraftKings Price – $5,500
As good of a matchup as we see this for the Cougars, it looks even better for the Bulls… at least on paper. The Cougars are dead last in passing yards allowed per game in the nation this season, and are giving up 8 YPA. This should mean that St. Felix is a strong bet to hit a few big plays in a game that we think favors the Bulls having to throw it more than usual.
DraftKings Price – $3,600
If you are looking for a punt option this week, I think Milton is the Cyclones player that has most benefited from Purdy’s meteoric rise. Milton has been listed as a co-starter on this roster for the past month, and is finally starting to carve out a role in the passing game. He gives the offense an element of speed that they haven’t had at receiver in Matt Campbell’s tenure, and his role will likely continue to grow as he has one of the nation’s highest efficiency ratings. Milton has caught 18 of 19 targets for 199 yards and a touchdown, and has really only seen meaningful playing time for the past two weeks.