The main slate for week 8 college football action on DraftKings is loaded with some high power offenses and terrible defenses. This week’s slate looks a lot like what we saw in week 7 with a CFB playoff favorite with the highest implied total, then a nice balance of teams in the 34-41 point range.
With defenses like Mississippi, Oklahoma, Illinois, Kansas, Texas Tech, Memphis, and Mizzou all active in this slate, I think cash lines will be much higher this week on DraftKings than they were in week 7.
CFB Week 8 QB Picks
DraftKings Salary – $8,500
It’s extremely hard to judge what a Texas Tech QB’s ceiling is this season because they have only a few instances of a guy playing a full game. Duffey took over for an injured Bowman in week 5 and put up 23.5 DraftKings points in a little over a half of play against West Virginia. Last week’s matchup came against the number 24 defense in the nation and Duffey struggled his way to a 25 point performance. This week’s matchup with Kansas is much more favorable, and given how well he has ran the ball in the last two weeks, I suspect his ceiling is relatively close to the 47 points we saw Bowman put up in week 3.
DraftKings Salary – $6,200
Patterson’s ability to run the ball has transformed his fantasy value over the past month. He has three 3.5x games in his last five, and this is arguably his best personal matchup over that stretch. Michigan State is the epitome of a funnel defense. They are by far the nation’s top run defense, allowing only 62 rushing YPG, but give up 286 passing YPG which ranks them 118th in the nation. Michigan is the favorite on Saturday, and if they pull off the road win it will because of Patterson’s ability to make plays as both a passer and runner.
CFB Week 8 RB Picks
DraftKings Salary – $9,700
There is plenty of value at receiver this week, and I think Taylor has the highest ceiling of anyone in this slate. If you look at Taylor’s game log this season, he crushes bad run defenses and disappears against good ones. To his credit, he averaged 6 YPC against the great Michigan run defense, the game script just got away from Wisconsin. We expect them to dominate Illinois and for Taylor to have his biggest game of the year against Illinois who is giving Rutgers a run for the worst defense in the Big 10.
DraftKings Salary – $7,400
The Texas Tech defense isn’t giving up the rushing yardage we have seen in recent years, but they are still 100th in the nation in YPC. I think if Kansas is able to sustain some drives and keep the game close for at least a half, Pooka will have a big game. Clearly they want to play keep away from Kingsbury’s offense, and Williams has been their only source for offense this season. At $7,400 he has reached at least 3x in 3 out of 5 games this season.
DraftKings Salary – $6,400
I think a good portion of DraftKings CFB players will look at the rushing defense numbers from Colorado and the fact that Gaskin is in a time share with Ahmad and pass right over him. Not so fast. Despite the solid play from Ahmad, Gaskin has been a high volume play for the past month before leaving last week’s game with an injury. He has practiced all week and is reportedly good to go for Saturday. Colorado’s numbers are also inflated due to one of the weakest schedules in the country. They gave up 5.5 YPC last season, and this is a matchup that Gaskin put up 202 yards and 2 touchdowns in last year.
CFB Week 8 WR Picks
DraftKings Salary – $5,000
We are going all value at receiver in this week’s article. I’m certainly not saying you should with your lineups, but having these three value plays on your radar will make paying up at QB/RB/S-Flex much easier. Sanders takes over as the number three receiver for D.K. Metcalf and should instantly see a boost in volume. He was already averaging 2.5x for his current $5,000 salary, and Metcalf was averaging 3.5x his salary in this role. We have Auburn’s pass defense graded one of the weaker units in the SEC as they have been shredded every time they have been tested this season (see Washington and Tennessee games).
DraftKings Salary – $4,800
Davis looks like he will finally get somewhat more consistent play out of Stidham and also gets one of the more favorable matchups in this slate, facing an Ole Miss defense that is allowing 272 passing YPG on the season. Davis is responsible for just under 30% of Stidham’s completions this season, so if Auburn is going to hit that 272 number or their 33 point implied total, there is a good chance Davis goes over 100 yards and finally finds the end zone. On the season he is averaging 2x value, but has hit 3x each of the last two weeks.
DraftKings Salary – $4,500
With Emmanuel Hall already out and Nate Brown trending towards missing this week as well, we may be all in on Knox in what could be a shootout in Mizzou on Saturday. Despite not getting a ton of playing time prior to last week, Knox already has two 3x+ performances this season. Given enough snaps and targets, I’m pretty sure I could put up 3x in this offense with Drew Lock throwing the ball.