DraftKings CFL Week 5 Picks
We are 4-for-4 through the first 4 weeks of CFL action on DraftKings. Let’s just hope this momentum carries into the start of NFL games. Stacking Mike Reilly and Derel Walker paid off, pushing all of our lineups into the money. However, we missed out on a big payday because we worked our lineups to squeeze Chris Williams in, and our sleepers Rutley and Underwood both put up solid weeks but didn’t find the end zone.
[total-poll id=6701]It’s only Monday, but DraftKings has what has become their usual CFL slate of games up for Week 5, and we received some complaints about how late the Week 4 article came out so we are knocking it out early this week.
Being only Monday, the Vegas lines are yet to come out from any of the 15+ sportsbooks that we track, but just glancing over this slate we can get a good feel for what the lines will look like.
Calgary at Winnipeg is the toughest game to call on the schedule. Calgary will likely be favorites, but after beating Hamilton in week 3 and nearly beating Edmonton in week 4, we like Winnipeg to put up a fight at home. That being said, those were two tough weeks, and Calgary should be fresh coming off of a bye, we are taking the road team here.
Montreal and Toronto will be a slow paced, low scoring contest. We want none of it.
Ottawa will be huge favorites traveling to Saskatchewan to face the 0-3 Riders. The Riders have the leagues worst scoring defense, while Ottawa boasts the league’s top scoring offense.
We are really looking forward to TiCats at Eskimos on Saturday night. The Hamilton defense has been tough this season, while Edmonton’s is allowing 33 points per game, but I don’t think anyone can slow down Reilly right now. We like the Eskimos at home.
Our Picks for DraftKings CFL Week 5 Contests
Trevor Harris – We were all in last week with the $20,000+ combo of Reilly and Walker, and it worked out. This week we are paying $22,400 for Harris and Williams. At that price, there is very little meat left on the bone, considering we have their combined ceiling at around 70 points. Even so, we feel good about locking in 3x value for $22k+ of our salary and feel like our value picks will hit 4x+ this week.
Nic Grigsby – The reason this is the 4th straight week of putting an Ottawa RB in our picks, is the Ottawa system. They put a ton of stress on opposing defenses with their movement and short passing game, which relies heavily on their running backs as a pass catchers. However, Grigsby didn’t see the targets we expected last week, but made up for it with 50 yards rushing and a touchdown. Don’t expect the rushing touchdown to necessarily happen again this week, but we expect him to catch 5+ passes and top 100 yards against a struggling Saskatchewan defense.
John White – John White seems to find his way into our top plays each week, and the main reason is his workload. He’s arguably the most talented RB in the CFL, and consistently leads the league in targets+carries. Hamilton’s defense is amongst the best in the league, but they also have allowed 6+ YPC in 2 of their last 3 games. White could be leaned on heavily in week 5 and is a solid RB play and safe Flex play.
Chris Williams – Everyone that was yelling fade Williams last week has to feel vindicated. I wouldn’t take that risk again this week. Toronto sold out on stopping Williams, and for the second week in a row, Ottawa proved that if you take him away they will just beat you with Greg Ellingson in a similar role. Saskatchewan doesn’t have the talent or scheme to slow down Williams so look for him to get back to 150+ yards, and back in the end zone.
Bakari Grant – Bo Levi Mitchell is a huge Bakari Grant fan, and it showed in the CFL vet’s first game with the Stampeders. Keep an eye on the status of Joe West. If he’s out again, I wouldn’t hesitate to pull the trigger on Grant ($5,300) again this week.
Tiquan Underwood – Our Underwood is a broken record record at this point… However, he is the TiCats number one receiver, and it’s only a matter of time before Masoli (or Collaros when he returns) finds him in the end zone. At $4,100 he’s essentially a punt, but if this game turns into a shootout, could be a top 5 receiver this week.
Ricky Collins – Collins made our list last week, but then was sat on an island with Ryan Phillips for the duration of Week 4. This matchup with Ottawa should be uptempo and high scoring, and we actually like Mitchell Gale quite a bit. We know he burned us last week, but Collins is worth one more shot here in Week 5.